(these winrates when players are skilled now, we have someone who plays this character, and (lets http://vabenubimeto.mihanblog.com/post/105 assume equal representation by top 7ish chars) because that most of there matchups are bad, the skill level they will be percieved as being at (since we base skill off of results) will be lower than there skill level.
We will then look at there results at this skill level, and see that!!! there ratios vs players there skill level are actually different than the true ratios. They will have a ratio distributed so that the weighted average (weighted for how common a character is, in this example all chars are equally common) is 50%, meaning that they have around 70% winrate against fox and 40% winrate against others.
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